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Serie C - Girone C · Italy
Casertana vs SS Monopoli prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Casertana host SS Monopoli in the Serie C - Girone C (Italy) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Casertana 3–1 SS Monopoli.
Going into the match, Casertana had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 15. SS Monopoli had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Casertana's last 10 and 3 of SS Monopoli's last 10; 6 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Casertana averaged 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home SS Monopoli averaged 0.56 scored and 1.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Casertana and 0.94 from SS Monopoli. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 30%. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Casertana (green) and SS Monopoli (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casertana | LLDWW | 1.40 | 1.50 | 70% | 60% |
| SS Monopoli | DWDDW | 0.80 | 0.60 | 30% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.