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Serie C - Girone C · Italy
Casarano vs Salernitana prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Casarano host Salernitana in the Serie C - Girone C (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Casarano 0–0 Salernitana.
Going into the match, Casarano had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Salernitana had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Casarano's last 10 and 9 of Salernitana's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Casarano averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Salernitana averaged 1.63 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Casarano and 1.48 from Salernitana. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 39%, against 32%, 28% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Casarano (green) and Salernitana (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casarano | LLDWW | 1.00 | 1.40 | 40% | 30% |
| Salernitana | WLWDW | 1.50 | 1.30 | 90% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.