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Premiership · Northern Ireland
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Carrick Rangers host Crusaders FC in the Premiership (Northern Ireland) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Carrick Rangers Win — Carrick Rangers to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Carrick Rangers 4–0 Crusaders FC.
Going into the match, Carrick Rangers had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 16. Crusaders FC had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Carrick Rangers's last 10 and 7 of Crusaders FC's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Carrick Rangers averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Crusaders FC averaged 1.38 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.24 goals from Carrick Rangers and 1.31 from Crusaders FC. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 21%, against 59%, 23% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Carrick Rangers (green) and Crusaders FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrick Rangers | LLDLL | 1.90 | 1.60 | 50% | 50% |
| Crusaders FC | WLWLL | 1.70 | 1.40 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Carrick Rangers Win | 59% | 1.55 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Carrick Rangers HT & FT | 41% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.