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USL Super League · USA
Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · American Legion Memorial Stadium
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Carolina Ascent W host Lexington W in the USL Super League (USA) on 31 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Lexington W +1.5 Asian Handicap — Lexington W +1.5 Asian Handicap. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Carolina Ascent W had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 6. Lexington W had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Carolina Ascent W's last 10 and 6 of Lexington W's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Carolina Ascent W averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Lexington W averaged 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from Carolina Ascent W and 0.74 from Lexington W. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 15%, against 42%, 28% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Ascent W | DWWDW | 1.70 | 0.60 | 30% | 50% |
| Lexington W | DWLDW | 1.60 | 1.10 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Sep 2026 · Lexington W 0–1 Carolina Ascent W
- 31 May 2026 · Lexington W 1–1 Carolina Ascent W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.05 |
| Carolina Ascent W Win | 45% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.