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FAW Championship · Wales
Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Carmarthen Town host Llantwit Major in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 2 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Carmarthen Town Win — Carmarthen Town to win. It was published at odds of 1.38, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Carmarthen Town 1–2 Llantwit Major.
Going into the match, Carmarthen Town had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 23. Llantwit Major had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 7, with 5 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 10 of Carmarthen Town's last 10 and 3 of Llantwit Major's last 7; 10 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Carmarthen Town averaged 2.50 goals scored and 2.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Llantwit Major averaged 0.67 scored and 3.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.78 goals from Carmarthen Town and 1.48 from Llantwit Major. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 18%, against 65%, 19% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Carmarthen Town (green) and Llantwit Major (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmarthen Town | WDLDL | 2.20 | 2.30 | 100% | 100% |
| Llantwit Major | WDLLL | 0.71 | 2.57 | 43% | 57% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Carmarthen Town Win | 65% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.55 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.59 |
| Carmarthen Town HT & FT | 46% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 35% | 2.62 |
| 2-0 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.