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Segunda División · Peru
Carlos A. Mannucci vs Alianza Universidad prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Carlos A. Mannucci host Alianza Universidad in the Segunda División (Peru) on 13 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.85, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Carlos A. Mannucci 3–1 Alianza Universidad.
Going into the match, Carlos A. Mannucci had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 6. Alianza Universidad had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Carlos A. Mannucci's last 10 and 6 of Alianza Universidad's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Carlos A. Mannucci averaged 1.78 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Alianza Universidad averaged 0.78 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.31 goals from Carlos A. Mannucci and 0.51 from Alianza Universidad. From that it rates a home win at 77%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 6%, against 55%, 25% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Carlos A. Mannucci (green) and Alianza Universidad (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos A. Mannucci | DWWWD | 1.70 | 0.60 | 20% | 20% |
| Alianza Universidad | LDDDL | 1.20 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Carlos A. Mannucci Win | 53% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.80 |
| Carlos A. Mannucci HT & FT | 36% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| 1-0 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.