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National League · England
Carlisle vs Kidderminster Harriers prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Carlisle host Kidderminster Harriers in the National League (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Carlisle 0–0 Kidderminster Harriers.
Going into the match, Carlisle had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 16. Kidderminster Harriers had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Carlisle's last 10 and 6 of Kidderminster Harriers's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Carlisle averaged 2.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Kidderminster Harriers averaged 2.55 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.03 goals from Carlisle and 1.27 from Kidderminster Harriers. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 41%, against 62%, 22% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Carlisle (green) and Kidderminster Harriers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | WWLLD | 2.00 | 1.60 | 80% | 60% |
| Kidderminster Harriers | DLLDW | 1.40 | 0.90 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Carlisle Win | 62% | 1.48 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.