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Premier League Cup · England
Cardiff City U21 vs Leicester City U21 prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cardiff City U21 host Leicester City U21 in the Premier League Cup (England) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cardiff City U21 1–3 Leicester City U21.
Going into the match, Cardiff City U21 had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 20. Leicester City U21 had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Cardiff City U21's last 10 and 4 of Leicester City U21's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cardiff City U21 averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Leicester City U21 averaged 0.83 scored and 2.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.86 goals from Cardiff City U21 and 0.90 from Leicester City U21. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 17%, against 39%, 23% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cardiff City U21 (green) and Leicester City U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City U21 | WDWDW | 2.40 | 2.00 | 60% | 80% |
| Leicester City U21 | LDLLL | 0.80 | 2.00 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.32 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Double Chance 1X | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Cardiff City U21 Win | 39% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.