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Primera División · Venezuela
Caracas FC vs Zamora FC prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Caracas FC host Zamora FC in the Primera División (Venezuela) on 11 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Caracas FC 4–1 Zamora FC.
Going into the match, Caracas FC had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Zamora FC had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Caracas FC's last 10 and 4 of Zamora FC's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Caracas FC averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Zamora FC averaged 0.67 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.92 goals from Caracas FC and 1.10 from Zamora FC. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 20%, against 53%, 29% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Caracas FC (green) and Zamora FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caracas FC | WDLLW | 1.30 | 0.80 | 40% | 30% |
| Zamora FC | DLLLW | 1.40 | 1.20 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Apr 2026 · Zamora FC 1–1 Caracas FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Caracas FC Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.