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Friendlies · International
Canada vs Peru prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Canada host Peru in the Friendlies (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Canada 2–0 Peru.
Going into the match, Canada had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 8 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Peru had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4, with 5 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Canada's last 8 and 4 of Peru's last 4; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Canada averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Peru averaged 1.33 scored and 2.00 conceded across 3.
The 1X2 prices imply about 58% for Canada, 22% for the draw and 20% for Peru once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Canada (green) and Peru (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Canada Win | 58% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.