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Cambridge United vs Northampton prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cambridge United host Northampton in the EFL Trophy (England) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cambridge United 2–1 Northampton.
Going into the match, Cambridge United had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Northampton had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Cambridge United's last 10 and 3 of Northampton's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cambridge United averaged 1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Northampton averaged 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.83 goals from Cambridge United and 0.62 from Northampton. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 11%, against 53%, 25% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cambridge United (green) and Northampton (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambridge United | DWDWD | 1.70 | 1.30 | 90% | 60% |
| Northampton | LLWDD | 0.70 | 1.20 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Jul 2026 · Cambridge United 0–0 Northampton
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Cambridge United Win | 53% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.