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Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
Calvo Sotelo vs RSD Alcalá prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Calvo Sotelo host RSD Alcalá in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Calvo Sotelo 0–0 RSD Alcalá.
Going into the match, Calvo Sotelo had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 10. RSD Alcalá had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Calvo Sotelo's last 10 and 5 of RSD Alcalá's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Calvo Sotelo averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home RSD Alcalá averaged 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Calvo Sotelo and 0.93 from RSD Alcalá. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 33%, against 34%, 29% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Calvo Sotelo (green) and RSD Alcalá (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvo Sotelo | LWLDL | 1.10 | 1.00 | 20% | 50% |
| RSD Alcalá | LLWLW | 1.70 | 1.30 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
| RSD Alcalá Win | 36% | 2.40 |
| 0-1 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.