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FA Cup · Scotland
Caledonian Braves vs Fraserburgh prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Caledonian Braves host Fraserburgh in the FA Cup (Scotland) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Fraserburgh to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Caledonian Braves 4–0 Fraserburgh.
Going into the match, Caledonian Braves had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 31 and conceding 21. Fraserburgh had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 26 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Caledonian Braves's last 10 and 7 of Fraserburgh's last 10; 9 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Caledonian Braves averaged 4.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Fraserburgh averaged 2.30 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.43 goals from Caledonian Braves and 0.96 from Fraserburgh. From that it rates a home win at 83%, a draw at 11% and an away win at 6%, against 40%, 24% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 17%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Caledonian Braves (green) and Fraserburgh (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caledonian Braves | WLLWW | 3.10 | 2.10 | 80% | 90% |
| Fraserburgh | WLWDL | 1.70 | 2.60 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.36 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Fraserburgh Win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.75 |
| 1-1 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.