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FAW Championship · Wales
Caersws vs Bala Town prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Caersws host Bala Town in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Caersws 3–3 Bala Town.
Going into the match, Caersws had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 13. Bala Town had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Caersws's last 10 and 6 of Bala Town's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Caersws averaged 2.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Bala Town averaged 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.72 goals from Caersws and 1.64 from Bala Town. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 21%, against 32%, 24% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Caersws (green) and Bala Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance X2 | 68% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Bala Town Win | 44% | 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.38 |
| Bala Town HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.