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FAW Championship · Wales
Caerphilly Athletic vs Newport City prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Caerphilly Athletic host Newport City in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Newport City to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Caerphilly Athletic 3–2 Newport City.
Going into the match, Caerphilly Athletic had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 9 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 17. Newport City had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Caerphilly Athletic's last 9 and 3 of Newport City's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Caerphilly Athletic averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Newport City averaged 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from Caerphilly Athletic and 1.42 from Newport City. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 36%. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Caerphilly Athletic (green) and Newport City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerphilly Athletic | LLLDW | 1.00 | 1.89 | 56% | 78% |
| Newport City | DDLLW | 1.00 | 1.70 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.