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Segunda División · Spain
Cadiz vs Leganes prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cadiz host Leganes in the Segunda División (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cadiz 4–0 Leganes.
Going into the match, Cadiz had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Leganes had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Cadiz's last 10 and 3 of Leganes's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cadiz averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Leganes averaged 0.58 scored and 1.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Cadiz and 0.67 from Leganes. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 20%, against 33%, 29% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cadiz (green) and Leganes (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Cadiz 3–0 Leganes
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.