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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Cacereño vs Unionistas de Salamanca prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cacereño host Unionistas de Salamanca in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cacereño 1–1 Unionistas de Salamanca.
Going into the match, Cacereño had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Unionistas de Salamanca had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Cacereño's last 10 and 4 of Unionistas de Salamanca's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cacereño averaged 1.70 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Unionistas de Salamanca averaged 0.57 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.29 goals from Cacereño and 0.66 from Unionistas de Salamanca. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 18%, against 49%, 28% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cacereño | LDWLW | 1.10 | 0.70 | 30% | 30% |
| Unionistas de Salamanca | WLWLL | 1.20 | 1.40 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Aug 2026 · Unionistas de Salamanca 1–0 Cacereño
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.