CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.41Market probability 65%Final score 2–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

CA La Paz host Tlaxcala in the Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico) on 17 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.41, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: CA La Paz 2–2 Tlaxcala.

Going into the match, CA La Paz had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 10. Tlaxcala had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 18 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of CA La Paz's last 10 and 8 of Tlaxcala's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home CA La Paz averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Tlaxcala averaged 0.89 scored and 2.22 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 3.13 goals from CA La Paz and 1.42 from Tlaxcala. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 14%, against 61%, 20% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between CA La Paz (green) and Tlaxcala (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack52% – 48%

Defence53% – 47%

Head-to-head85% – 15%

Goals61% – 39%

Overall strength62% – 37%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
CA La Paz	WLWWD	2.60	1.00	70%	80%
Tlaxcala	WDWLW	2.00	1.80	80%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	70%	1.31
BTTS Yes	65%	1.41
CA La Paz Win	63%	1.53
Under 10.5 Corners	54%	1.73
CA La Paz HT & FT	43%	2.25
2-1	10%	10.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.