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Primera Nacional · Argentina
CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
CA Estudiantes host Deportivo Moron in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 11 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — CA Estudiantes to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: CA Estudiantes 2–0 Deportivo Moron.
Going into the match, CA Estudiantes had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Deportivo Moron had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of CA Estudiantes's last 10 and 8 of Deportivo Moron's last 10; 3 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home CA Estudiantes averaged 1.31 goals scored and 0.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Deportivo Moron averaged 1.23 scored and 1.38 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from CA Estudiantes and 1.15 from Deportivo Moron. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 26%, against 38%, 33% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between CA Estudiantes (green) and Deportivo Moron (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA Estudiantes | LWWWL | 1.00 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
| Deportivo Moron | WLLWW | 1.80 | 1.10 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Deportivo Moron 2–0 CA Estudiantes
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.36 |
| BTTS No | 63% | 1.44 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| CA Estudiantes Win | 38% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.80 |
| 1-0 | 19% | 5.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.