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FA Cup · England
Buxton vs South Shields prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Buxton host South Shields in the FA Cup (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Buxton 0–2 South Shields.
Going into the match, Buxton had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 17. South Shields had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Buxton's last 10 and 5 of South Shields's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Buxton averaged 2.33 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home South Shields averaged 1.75 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.77 goals from Buxton and 2.03 from South Shields. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 44%, against 30%, 26% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Buxton (green) and South Shields (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxton | LWWWL | 1.70 | 1.70 | 60% | 80% |
| South Shields | LWWLW | 2.10 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Sep 2026 · South Shields 4–0 Buxton
- 2 May 2026 · South Shields 1–0 Buxton
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.24 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.29 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.68 |
| South Shields Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.