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III Liga - Group 4 · Poland
Busko-Zdroj vs Wisła Kraków II prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Busko-Zdroj host Wisła Kraków II in the III Liga - Group 4 (Poland) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Busko-Zdroj 3–0 Wisła Kraków II.
Going into the match, Busko-Zdroj had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 21. Wisła Kraków II had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 10 of Busko-Zdroj's last 10 and 6 of Wisła Kraków II's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Busko-Zdroj averaged 1.71 goals scored and 2.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Wisła Kraków II averaged 1.55 scored and 1.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.66 goals from Busko-Zdroj and 1.66 from Wisła Kraków II. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 38%, against 25%, 22% and 53% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Busko-Zdroj (green) and Wisła Kraków II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busko-Zdroj | LWLWL | 1.40 | 2.10 | 100% | 80% |
| Wisła Kraków II | DDLLD | 1.30 | 1.30 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.26 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Wisła Kraków II Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| Wisła Kraków II HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.