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III Liga - Group 4 · Poland
Busko-Zdroj vs Hetman Zamosc prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Busko-Zdroj host Hetman Zamosc in the III Liga - Group 4 (Poland) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.43, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Busko-Zdroj 2–4 Hetman Zamosc.
Going into the match, Busko-Zdroj had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 24. Hetman Zamosc had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Busko-Zdroj's last 10 and 8 of Hetman Zamosc's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Busko-Zdroj averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Hetman Zamosc averaged 1.57 scored and 2.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.81 goals from Busko-Zdroj and 2.10 from Hetman Zamosc. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 44%, against 33%, 24% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Busko-Zdroj (green) and Hetman Zamosc (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busko-Zdroj | LWLWL | 1.30 | 2.40 | 80% | 90% |
| Hetman Zamosc | WDLWL | 1.80 | 1.80 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.23 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.63 |
| Hetman Zamosc Win | 42% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.