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K3 League · South Korea
Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Busan Transportation host Yeoju Sejong in the K3 League (South Korea) on 10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.68, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Busan Transportation 2–1 Yeoju Sejong.
Going into the match, Busan Transportation had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 19. Yeoju Sejong had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Busan Transportation's last 10 and 5 of Yeoju Sejong's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Busan Transportation averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Yeoju Sejong averaged 0.92 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from Busan Transportation and 1.03 from Yeoju Sejong. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 23%, against 49%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Busan Transportation (green) and Yeoju Sejong (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busan Transportation | LLDLW | 2.00 | 1.90 | 90% | 60% |
| Yeoju Sejong | WLLLW | 0.90 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Yeoju Sejong 1–1 Busan Transportation
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.68 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Busan Transportation Win | 47% | 1.83 |
| Busan Transportation HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.