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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Bury vs Leek Town prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bury host Leek Town in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Bury Win — Bury to win. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Going into the match, Bury had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 33 and conceding 11. Leek Town had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Bury's last 10 and 8 of Leek Town's last 10; 8 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bury averaged 3.46 goals scored and 0.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Leek Town averaged 1.91 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.57 goals from Bury and 1.21 from Leek Town. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 15%. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bury (green) and Leek Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.