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FA Cup · England
Bury vs Bromsgrove Sporting prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bury host Bromsgrove Sporting in the FA Cup (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.43, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bury 2–1 Bromsgrove Sporting.
Going into the match, Bury had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 32 and conceding 10. Bromsgrove Sporting had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Bury's last 10 and 5 of Bromsgrove Sporting's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bury averaged 3.58 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Bromsgrove Sporting averaged 2.22 scored and 0.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.38 goals from Bury and 1.31 from Bromsgrove Sporting. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 34%, against 47%, 25% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bury (green) and Bromsgrove Sporting (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | DWWWL | 3.20 | 1.00 | 40% | 70% |
| Bromsgrove Sporting | DWWWW | 1.70 | 0.70 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.23 |
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Bury Win | 47% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.