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Non League Premier - Southern Central · England
Bury Town vs Needham Market prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bury Town host Needham Market in the Non League Premier - Southern Central (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.58, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bury Town 0–5 Needham Market.
Going into the match, Bury Town had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 19. Needham Market had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Bury Town's last 10 and 5 of Needham Market's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bury Town averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Needham Market averaged 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.02 goals from Bury Town and 1.73 from Needham Market. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 33%, against 39%, 26% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bury Town (green) and Needham Market (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury Town | WLDWL | 1.80 | 1.90 | 60% | 60% |
| Needham Market | DLWWL | 2.20 | 1.60 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.43 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Bury Town Win | 38% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.