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1st Division · Albania
Burreli vs Besëlidhja Lezhë prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Burreli host Besëlidhja Lezhë in the 1st Division (Albania) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Burreli 0–0 Besëlidhja Lezhë.
Going into the match, Burreli had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 9 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 16. Besëlidhja Lezhë had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 7, with 7 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Burreli's last 9 and 4 of Besëlidhja Lezhë's last 7; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Burreli averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Besëlidhja Lezhë averaged 0.00 scored and 0.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.90 goals from Burreli and 1.14 from Besëlidhja Lezhë. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 40%, against 41%, 28% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Burreli (green) and Besëlidhja Lezhë (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burreli | LWLDD | 1.33 | 1.78 | 56% | 44% |
| Besëlidhja Lezhë | DWDLL | 1.00 | 1.00 | 57% | 43% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Burreli Win | 40% | 2.20 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.