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WSL Cup · England
Burnley W vs Aston Villa W prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Burnley W host Aston Villa W in the WSL Cup (England) on 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Burnley W had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 7. Aston Villa W had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Burnley W's last 5 and 7 of Aston Villa W's last 10; 2 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Burnley W averaged 0.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Aston Villa W averaged 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.
The 1X2 prices imply about 10% for Burnley W, 18% for the draw and 72% for Aston Villa W once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Burnley W (green) and Aston Villa W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley W | LDLLD | 0.20 | 1.40 | 20% | 40% |
| Aston Villa W | WDWLW | 1.20 | 1.80 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa W Win | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Aston Villa W 1st Half Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Aston Villa W HT & FT | 51% | 1.83 |
| 0-3 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.