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Championship · England
Burnley vs Wolves prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Burnley host Wolves in the Championship (England) on 16 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Burnley 1–2 Wolves.
Going into the match, Burnley had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 17. Wolves had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Burnley's last 10 and 5 of Wolves's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Burnley averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Wolves averaged 1.08 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from Burnley and 1.68 from Wolves. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 51%, against 33%, 27% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Burnley (green) and Wolves (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Burnley 1–1 Wolves
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.