Burnley vs Charlton prediction and preview

The PunterPick prediction

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Burnley host Charlton in the Championship (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Burnley Win — Burnley to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Burnley 2–2 Charlton.

Going into the match, Burnley had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 17. Charlton had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Burnley's last 10 and 6 of Charlton's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Burnley averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Charlton averaged 1.07 scored and 1.79 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from Burnley and 1.03 from Charlton. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 25%, against 58%, 25% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Burnley (green) and Charlton (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Form before the match

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

• Burnley form and statistics
• Charlton form and statistics
• Championship statistics