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Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United vs Rayong FC prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Buriram United host Rayong FC in the Thai League 1 (Thailand) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Buriram United 3–2 Rayong FC.
Going into the match, Buriram United had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 4. Rayong FC had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 8, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Buriram United's last 10 and 6 of Rayong FC's last 8; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Buriram United averaged 1.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Rayong FC averaged 1.67 scored and 4.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.91 goals from Buriram United and 0.81 from Rayong FC. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 14%, against 74%, 17% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Buriram United (green) and Rayong FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buriram United | DWDDW | 1.70 | 0.40 | 40% | 40% |
| Rayong FC | DWWDL | 1.50 | 1.88 | 75% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Apr 2026 · Rayong FC 3–0 Buriram United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Buriram United Win | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Buriram United 1st Half Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Buriram United HT & FT | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.