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Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · Spain
Burgos Promesas vs UD Santa Marta prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Burgos Promesas host UD Santa Marta in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Burgos Promesas to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Burgos Promesas 1–1 UD Santa Marta.
Going into the match, Burgos Promesas had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 9 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 4. UD Santa Marta had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Burgos Promesas's last 9 and 4 of UD Santa Marta's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Burgos Promesas averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home UD Santa Marta averaged 1.14 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Burgos Promesas and 0.61 from UD Santa Marta. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 20%. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Burgos Promesas (green) and UD Santa Marta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos Promesas | WDWWW | 1.33 | 0.44 | 22% | 44% |
| UD Santa Marta | WLLWW | 1.30 | 1.00 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.