Home › League stats › Non League Premier - Isthmian › Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree
Non League Premier - Isthmian · England
Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Burgess Hill Town host Maldon & Tiptree in the Non League Premier - Isthmian (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Burgess Hill Town 4–1 Maldon & Tiptree.
Going into the match, Burgess Hill Town had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 12. Maldon & Tiptree had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 28 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Burgess Hill Town's last 10 and 7 of Maldon & Tiptree's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Burgess Hill Town averaged 2.44 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Maldon & Tiptree averaged 1.33 scored and 3.83 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.02 goals from Burgess Hill Town and 0.97 from Maldon & Tiptree. From that it rates a home win at 78%, a draw at 14% and an away win at 8%, against 59%, 23% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Burgess Hill Town (green) and Maldon & Tiptree (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgess Hill Town | WLWDD | 2.10 | 1.20 | 80% | 70% |
| Maldon & Tiptree | LLLLL | 1.40 | 2.80 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| Burgess Hill Town Win | 59% | 1.55 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.54 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Burgess Hill Town HT & FT | 41% | 2.30 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.