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Non League Premier - Isthmian · England
Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Burgess Hill Town host Aveley in the Non League Premier - Isthmian (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Burgess Hill Town 1–1 Aveley.
Going into the match, Burgess Hill Town had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 13. Aveley had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Burgess Hill Town's last 10 and 7 of Aveley's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Burgess Hill Town averaged 2.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Aveley averaged 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.63 goals from Burgess Hill Town and 1.47 from Aveley. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 19%, against 36%, 25% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Burgess Hill Town (green) and Aveley (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgess Hill Town | WWLWD | 2.20 | 1.30 | 90% | 70% |
| Aveley | LLWLL | 2.10 | 1.90 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.30 |
| Aveley Win | 37% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.