BUL vs NEC prediction and preview

21 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.53Market probability 60%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

BUL host NEC in the Premier League (Uganda) on 21 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — NEC to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: BUL 2–1 NEC.

Going into the match, BUL had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 8. NEC had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of BUL's last 10 and 3 of NEC's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home BUL averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home NEC averaged 0.86 scored and 0.29 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from BUL and 1.16 from NEC. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 32%, against 40%, 32% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between BUL (green) and NEC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form54% – 46%

Attack57% – 43%

Defence40% – 60%

Head-to-head25% – 75%

Goals38% – 63%

Overall strength42% – 57%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
BUL	WDWWW	1.40	0.80	40%	40%
NEC	WDWDW	1.40	0.80	30%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

28 Apr 2026 · BUL 0–1 NEC