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Primera A · Colombia
Bucaramanga vs Junior prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 23:10 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bucaramanga host Junior in the Primera A (Colombia) on 4 Oct 2026, 23:10 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bucaramanga 3–1 Junior.
Going into the match, Bucaramanga had won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 9. Junior had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Bucaramanga's last 10 and 7 of Junior's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bucaramanga averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Junior averaged 1.29 scored and 1.71 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.09 goals from Bucaramanga and 1.17 from Junior. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 20%, against 49%, 28% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bucaramanga (green) and Junior (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucaramanga | WWDWD | 1.70 | 0.90 | 70% | 40% |
| Junior | LWWLD | 1.70 | 1.80 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Bucaramanga Win | 49% | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.