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Primera A · Colombia
Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 01:05 UTC · Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bucaramanga host Deportivo Pasto in the Primera A (Colombia) on 31 Oct 2026, 01:05 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Bucaramanga had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 11. Deportivo Pasto had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Bucaramanga's last 10 and 3 of Deportivo Pasto's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bucaramanga averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Deportivo Pasto averaged 1.33 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.10 goals from Bucaramanga and 0.66 from Deportivo Pasto. From that it rates a home win at 70%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 10%, against 60%, 25% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bucaramanga (green) and Deportivo Pasto (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucaramanga | LLDDW | 1.70 | 1.10 | 80% | 50% |
| Deportivo Pasto | WLLDL | 0.70 | 1.50 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Bucaramanga Win | 60% | 1.55 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera A matches that day
- Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares · 30 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Primera A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28