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Primera A · Colombia
Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bucaramanga host Águilas Doradas in the Primera A (Colombia) on 13 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bucaramanga 1–1 Águilas Doradas.
Going into the match, Bucaramanga had won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 10. Águilas Doradas had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Bucaramanga's last 10 and 6 of Águilas Doradas's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bucaramanga averaged 2.56 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Águilas Doradas averaged 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.83 goals from Bucaramanga and 1.11 from Águilas Doradas. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 22%, against 47%, 29% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bucaramanga (green) and Águilas Doradas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucaramanga | WWWDW | 1.90 | 1.00 | 80% | 50% |
| Águilas Doradas | DWLLD | 1.20 | 1.50 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Apr 2026 · Águilas Doradas 2–1 Bucaramanga
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Bucaramanga Win | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.