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Premijer Liga · Bosnia
BSK Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC · Stadion Caire, Banja Luka
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
BSK Banja Luka host FK Sarajevo in the Premijer Liga (Bosnia) on 1 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.35, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, BSK Banja Luka had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 20. FK Sarajevo had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of BSK Banja Luka's last 10 and 3 of FK Sarajevo's last 10; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home BSK Banja Luka averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home FK Sarajevo averaged 1.50 scored and 1.14 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from BSK Banja Luka and 1.34 from FK Sarajevo. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 37%, against 22%, 28% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between BSK Banja Luka (green) and FK Sarajevo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSK Banja Luka | DWDLD | 1.60 | 2.00 | 70% | 50% |
| FK Sarajevo | DWDDW | 1.20 | 0.60 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Aug 2026 · FK Sarajevo 1–0 BSK Banja Luka
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.24 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.61 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| FK Sarajevo Win | 51% | 1.81 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.