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Regionalliga - Nordost · Germany
BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
BSG Chemie Leipzig host Luckenwalde in the Regionalliga - Nordost (Germany) on 9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — BSG Chemie Leipzig to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.27, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–3 Luckenwalde.
Going into the match, BSG Chemie Leipzig had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Luckenwalde had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of BSG Chemie Leipzig's last 10 and 6 of Luckenwalde's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home BSG Chemie Leipzig averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Luckenwalde averaged 1.20 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from BSG Chemie Leipzig and 0.92 from Luckenwalde. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 20%, against 49%, 21% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between BSG Chemie Leipzig (green) and Luckenwalde (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | WLWDD | 1.20 | 1.50 | 60% | 40% |
| Luckenwalde | WLLLL | 1.10 | 2.30 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.27 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 63% | 1.45 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| BSG Chemie Leipzig Win | 49% | 1.83 |
| 0-0 | 11% | 8.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.