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Serie C · Brazil
Brusque vs Paysandu prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Brusque host Paysandu in the Serie C (Brazil) on 10 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Brusque to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Brusque 1–1 Paysandu.
Going into the match, Brusque had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 16. Paysandu had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Brusque's last 10 and 4 of Paysandu's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Brusque averaged 1.73 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Paysandu averaged 1.47 scored and 1.80 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.84 goals from Brusque and 1.31 from Paysandu. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 26%, against 47%, 28% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Brusque (green) and Paysandu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Sep 2026 · Paysandu 1–2 Brusque
- 12 Apr 2026 · Paysandu 1–1 Brusque
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Brusque Win | 45% | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.