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Coppa Italia Serie D · Italy
Brusaporto vs Chievo prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Brusaporto host Chievo in the Coppa Italia Serie D (Italy) on 7 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Brusaporto to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Brusaporto 2–1 Chievo.
Going into the match, Brusaporto had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Chievo had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Brusaporto's last 10 and 6 of Chievo's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Brusaporto averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Chievo averaged 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Brusaporto and 1.81 from Chievo. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 47%, against 24%, 26% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Brusaporto (green) and Chievo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brusaporto | LWWLW | 1.40 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
| Chievo | WLWWW | 2.10 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Chievo HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.