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Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina
Brown DE Adrogue vs Dock Sud prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Brown DE Adrogue host Dock Sud in the Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina) on 12 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Brown DE Adrogue 1–0 Dock Sud.
Going into the match, Brown DE Adrogue had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Dock Sud had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Brown DE Adrogue's last 10 and 4 of Dock Sud's last 10; 1 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Brown DE Adrogue averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Dock Sud averaged 1.00 scored and 1.43 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.95 goals from Brown DE Adrogue and 0.68 from Dock Sud. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 24%, against 42%, 33% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Brown DE Adrogue (green) and Dock Sud (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brown DE Adrogue | DWDLD | 0.60 | 0.70 | 20% | 10% |
| Dock Sud | LWDLL | 1.20 | 1.60 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · Dock Sud 0–1 Brown DE Adrogue
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Brown DE Adrogue Win | 41% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.