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USL Championship · USA
Brooklyn vs Rhode Island prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Brooklyn host Rhode Island in the USL Championship (USA) on 3 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Brooklyn 1–3 Rhode Island.
Going into the match, Brooklyn had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 25. Rhode Island had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Brooklyn's last 10 and 3 of Rhode Island's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Brooklyn averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Rhode Island averaged 1.08 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.01 goals from Brooklyn and 1.77 from Rhode Island. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 54%, against 22%, 24% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Brooklyn (green) and Rhode Island (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooklyn | LLDLD | 0.90 | 2.50 | 50% | 70% |
| Rhode Island | WLLWD | 1.10 | 1.00 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Jul 2026 · Rhode Island 1–1 Brooklyn
- 24 May 2026 · Rhode Island 4–1 Brooklyn
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 58% | 1.61 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Rhode Island Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.