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Championship · England
Bristol City vs Blackburn prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bristol City host Blackburn in the Championship (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bristol City 0–1 Blackburn.
Going into the match, Bristol City had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Blackburn had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Bristol City's last 10 and 9 of Blackburn's last 10; 5 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bristol City averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Blackburn averaged 1.17 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.14 goals from Bristol City and 1.05 from Blackburn. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 32%, against 45%, 29% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bristol City (green) and Blackburn (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | DWWLL | 1.40 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
| Blackburn | WDWLL | 1.50 | 1.50 | 90% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.91 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.