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1. SNL · Slovenia
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Brinje-Grosuplje host Maribor in the 1. SNL (Slovenia) on 11 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Brinje-Grosuplje 1–2 Maribor.
Going into the match, Brinje-Grosuplje had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 21. Maribor had won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Brinje-Grosuplje's last 10 and 7 of Maribor's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Brinje-Grosuplje averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.82 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Maribor averaged 1.40 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from Brinje-Grosuplje and 1.98 from Maribor. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 56%, against 19%, 25% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Brinje-Grosuplje (green) and Maribor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brinje-Grosuplje | WLLWL | 1.40 | 2.10 | 80% | 80% |
| Maribor | DDWDW | 2.00 | 0.90 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Jul 2026 · Maribor 3–0 Brinje-Grosuplje
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Maribor Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.