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Serie D - Girone H · Italy
Brindisi vs Real Normanna prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Brindisi host Real Normanna in the Serie D - Girone H (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Brindisi 3–0 Real Normanna.
Going into the match, Brindisi had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Real Normanna had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Brindisi's last 5 and 4 of Real Normanna's last 9; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Brindisi averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Real Normanna averaged 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.90 goals from Brindisi and 0.97 from Real Normanna. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 18%, against 36%, 27% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Brindisi (green) and Real Normanna (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brindisi | WLLWL | 1.00 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% |
| Real Normanna | WWLDW | 1.56 | 1.33 | 44% | 44% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Brindisi Win | 36% | 2.45 |
| 1-0 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.