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FA WSL · England
Brighton W vs Charlton Athletic W prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Brighton W host Charlton Athletic W in the FA WSL (England) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Brighton W Win — Brighton W to win. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Brighton W 5–1 Charlton Athletic W.
Going into the match, Brighton W had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 16. Charlton Athletic W had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 9, with 3 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Brighton W's last 10 and 2 of Charlton Athletic W's last 9; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Brighton W averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Charlton Athletic W averaged 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.47 goals from Brighton W and 0.50 from Charlton Athletic W. From that it rates a home win at 80%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 5%, against 76%, 13% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Brighton W (green) and Charlton Athletic W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton W | LLWDD | 1.20 | 1.60 | 50% | 50% |
| Charlton Athletic W | LLLLL | 0.33 | 2.33 | 22% | 56% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Sep 2026 · Brighton W 4–0 Charlton Athletic W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton W Win | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Brighton W 1st Half Win | 58% | 1.57 |
| Brighton W HT & FT | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.