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2. SNL · Slovenia
Brežice vs Primorje prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Brežice host Primorje in the 2. SNL (Slovenia) on 3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.51, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Brežice 1–1 Primorje.
Going into the match, Brežice had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 22. Primorje had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Brežice's last 10 and 5 of Primorje's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Brežice averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Primorje averaged 0.40 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.65 goals from Brežice and 0.82 from Primorje. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 17%, against 30%, 25% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Brežice (green) and Primorje (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Primorje Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.