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1. Liga Promotion · Switzerland
Breitenrain vs Bavois prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Breitenrain host Bavois in the 1. Liga Promotion (Switzerland) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Breitenrain to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Breitenrain 1–0 Bavois.
Going into the match, Breitenrain had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 18. Bavois had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Breitenrain's last 10 and 3 of Bavois's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Breitenrain averaged 2.36 goals scored and 1.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Bavois averaged 1.64 scored and 2.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.76 goals from Breitenrain and 1.00 from Bavois. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 20%, against 37%, 24% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Breitenrain (green) and Bavois (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breitenrain | DLLWL | 1.40 | 1.80 | 60% | 70% |
| Bavois | LLLWL | 1.00 | 1.80 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.38 |
| Breitenrain Win | 37% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.